Seoul E-Land FC

Seoul E-Land FC

Tracker

We called the whole second round robin in advance. This is the scoreboard on that call, updated every round, plus a fixture-by-fixture projection of the promotion race.

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Season Tracker

On July 12 we published a round-by-round call for the entire second round robin. On September 7, after Round 25, we published a second, simulation-based set of calls for the eight rounds left. This page grades both against reality, round by round, and projects where the season ends up. Neither set changes once published.

Published prediction

60

final total we projected on Jul 12

Points now

48 +4

vs the prediction at this stage

Call accuracy

50%

5/10 exact results called correctly

Revised prediction

60

0/2 revised calls correct

Model projection

59

estimated final points today

Predicted vs actual

25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 1820222426283133
Predicted (Jul 12) Revised (Sep 7) Actual

Both lines start from the 29 points Seoul had when the preview was written. The solid line is what actually happened.

Round by round

Rd Match Called (Jul) Revised (Sep) Actual Verdict Running
18 A Suwon FC D - D hit 30 / 30
19 H Cheonan W - W hit 33 / 33
20 A Busan IPark L - W miss 36 / 33
21 A Hwaseong FC L - D miss 37 / 33
22 H Ansan Greeners W - W hit 40 / 36
23 H Paju Frontier W - D miss 41 / 39
24 A Seongnam FC D - D hit 42 / 40
25 A Chungbuk Cheongju L - W miss 45 / 40
26 H Suwon Bluewings D D 32% miss L miss 45 / 41 / 46
27 H Daegu W D 30% miss W hit 48 / 44 / 47
28 A Gimpo Citizen W W 54% to play - 47 / 50
29 H Gimhae FC W W 83% to play - 50 / 53
31 A Yongin D L 28% to play - 51 / 53
32 H Jeonnam Dragons W W 68% to play - 54 / 56
33 H Chungnam Asan W W 59% to play - 57 / 59
34 A Gyeongnam W D 32% to play - 60 / 60

What if?

Drag to set where Seoul E-Land finish the season, one point at a time, and see what that asks of the remaining fixtures.

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Points per remaining game

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- points from 6 matches left

Projected finish

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The top-five race

The top-five race

Model projection for the promotion contenders, calculated fixture by fixture across each club's remaining schedule.

# Club P Pts Left Projected
1 Suwon Samsung Bluewings 25 53 7 67
2 Suwon FC 25 48 7 61
3 Seoul E-Land 26 48 6 59
4 Daegu FC 26 46 6 57
5 Hwaseong FC 26 44 6 52
6 Busan IPark 26 41 6 51

Table current through Round 27 (2026-09-20).

How this is calculated

Two different things are on this page and they are deliberately kept apart.

The prediction is the round-by-round call published in the second round robin preview on July 12, before any of those matches were played. It said 9 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses, worth 31 points, which added to the 29 Seoul had at the time gave a projected final of 60. Those calls are frozen. They are what the accuracy score and the dashed line are grading, and they do not get quietly revised when a result goes the other way.

The projection is a model, not a prediction. Every club carries a rating equal to its points per game so far. The home side gets a bonus of 0.35 points per game, which is roughly what home advantage is worth in this division. The gap between the two ratings is converted into win, draw and loss probabilities, with the draw share shrinking as the gap widens, and each fixture returns an expected-points value. Running that over every remaining fixture gives the projected final totals in the race table. Because it is rebuilt from current form, it moves every week, and it will disagree with our published call more and more as the season goes on. That is the point.

Seoul E-Land's results are read directly from the same fixture file that drives the rest of this site, so the tracker cannot drift out of step with the match reports. Rival records are updated by hand after each round.